First report
Monthly single-family report
The first monthly Bernal Heights single-family report will be published here after the initial MLS data pull. Every figure will carry its source, date, geography, and method, and nothing will be estimated. For a current value on a specific home, ask Thomas for a comparable-sales analysis.
Bernal Heights home values
For a single house, the most reliable value is a comparable-sales analysis done for that address. For the neighborhood as a whole, the median sale price of closed single-family sales, read alongside price per square foot and sale-to-list ratio, is a better guide than automated estimates, which struggle with Bernal’s unpermitted space, steep lots, and wide range of condition.
What each report includes
- Active, new, pending, and closed single-family sales
- Median and average sale price
- Median price per square foot
- Median days on market and sale-to-list ratio
- Months of inventory
- Sales by price band, with month-over-month and year-over-year changes
Methodology
- Source: SFARMLS closed and active listing data, exported by Thomas on the date shown. MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
- Geography: the MLS “Bernal Heights” neighborhood designation. ZIP code 94110 is not used because it combines Bernal Heights with much of the Mission District.
- Property type: Single Family Residence only. Condominiums, TICs, and 2–4 unit properties are excluded because they would distort single-family figures.
- Period: calendar month by close date, plus a trailing three-month view, because monthly Bernal single-family sale counts are small and a single unusual sale can move a monthly median.
- Exclusions: off-MLS sales, and sales with obviously erroneous data, are not included; any exclusion is noted.
- Changes: MoM compares with the prior month; YoY compares with the same month a year earlier, using the same filters.
Other public sources
Third-party sites publish Bernal Heights figures using different definitions (often all property types, or modeled values). They can be useful context, but numbers will not match this report.
- Redfin — Bernal Heights housing market (brokerage data, all property types by default)
- Zillow — Bernal Heights home values (modeled index, not sale prices)
- California Association of REALTORS® market data (county level)